Showing posts with label India and China. Show all posts
Showing posts with label India and China. Show all posts

Friday, September 18, 2020

Standoff with China: India's options limited

 The government's critics accuse it of meekness in the face of China's land grab in Ladakh. The fact of the matter, as many security experts have testified, is that China has appropriated chunks of Indian territory. What is not stated as explicitly is that India's military and diplomatic options in responding to Chinese belligerence are limited, as an article in The Wire makes clear, citing a recent paper by two US analysts.

There are three options. One, take on the Chinese and throw them out before they consolidate. This is a huge challenge in the Himalayan heights given that defenders have an enormous advantage. Two, seize Chinese territory that can then be exchanged for ours. We haven't quite attempted this: the territory we have moved into at Pangong is our own. The third is to accept the fait accompli. This would mean more Chinese aggression down the road.

It does appear that, faced with a superior economic and military power, our options are limited. Some hawks says we should make it costly for China to embark on such adventures by mobilising in a big way along the border. But this raises costs for us too- and China can outlast us, given the strength of their economy.

Any suggestions, anybody?

(Thanks to SM Deshpande for the pointer to the Wire article)

Depsang is a headache for India

 The present standoff with China in Ladakh has had one positive: the large number of insightful military analyses it has spawned.

India has been on the defensive in Ladakh ever since China upped its belligerence a few months ago. There is an impression that our moves in the southern part of Pangong lake have changed the scenario and China is seriously rattled.

It may be that the Pangong thrust has moved things to our advantage in that area. But the real problem for us is Depsang where, as military analyst Sushant Singh points out, China blocks access to 900 sq kms of our territory. That blockage is a real headache because it could limit India's access to Siachen Glacier and give Pakistan a chance to mount an attack on it. As Singh points out, it is not that the PLA and the Pakistani army can link up. However, acting in collusion, they can pose a serious threat to our positions. Singh notes that the defence minister was conspicuously silent on Depsang in his recent speech to Parliament.