So, Greece, which had paid higher yields than others in the Eurozone before
it was created, could now borrow cheaply. The obverse of such borrowings was a
widening current account deficit. Following the financial crisis of 2007, the
markets became sensitive to sovereign risk. They sensed the possibility of
sudden stops to capital flows that had financed large current account deficits.
Yields on Greek sovereign bonds began to rise. Large amounts of Greek public
debt were falling due. It became clear that some private creditors would not be
willing to roll over debt and, even if they did, the government could not
afford to borrow at the higher yields.
The IMF and the EU stepped in to organise a €110 bn bailout. The objective
in any bailout must be to restore an economy to health. The Greece bailout has
clearly failed to accomplish that. That's because IMF did not ensure that the
terms of the bailout ensured sustainability of debt. This is astonishing
because the IMF's rules required exceptional access to finance to be provided
only after this condition was satisfied. How this norm and other norms were
circumvented is a story that is well told by the IMF's Independent Evaluation
Office, the IEO.
More on this in my article in the Wire, How the IMF bungled the Greek crisis
Friday, August 05, 2016
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