Tuesday, February 25, 2020

Storm over Trump nominee for Fed Governor, Judy Shelton

Shelton the charlatan, wrote economist Bradford de Long. Shel-no, commented the Economist. This is no way to run a central bank, pontificated the New York Times.

When the establishment gangs up against somebody as solidly as it has done in the case of Judy Shelton, one of two individuals nominated for Fed Governor by President Trump, you begin to suspect there must be something faintly right about her.

Shelton is not an economist. She has a doctorate in business administration. She was appointed Executive Director to the EBRD by President Trump. She was written extensively on economic matters- and quite well, I might add.

What do Shelton's critics have against her? They say she has in the past favoured a return to the gold standard- this makes her seem archaic. They argue that she has changed her views on the Fed's policies several times. She was against monetary loosening a few years ago. Today she favours loosening. She was opposed to the Fed supporting stock prices a few years ago. Now she wants the Fed to do just that.

Well, it's been pointed out that Ben Bernanke himself has spoken favourably about the gold standard at one point. Policy prescriptions can change as economic conditions change. It's not clear that these are sufficiently strong arguments against a nominee for the Fed.

No, the reason that many in the establishment are up in arms against Shelton is that she has challenged a key tenet of the establishment, namely, central bank independence. Shelton has said:
How can a dozen, slightly less than a dozen, people meeting eight times a year, decide what the cost of capital should be versus some kind of organically, market supply determined rate?. We might as well resurrect Gosplan ( the agency of the Soviet government that ran its economy.). 
You can see what gets the goat of the technocratic elite that runs our financial system.

Central bank independence, at the very least, means that monetary policy is set by technocrats insulated from political interference. The idea is that politicians are driven by short-term considerations, such as winning elections, whereas technocrats can afford to take the long view.

Well, maybe, maybe not. Technocrats do have political leanings and loyalties and may want to tailor monetary policy to favour a particular party at election time. Leaving aside voting preferences, central bankers do have views that are politically important. They may favour low interest rates and how stock prices because they have had links with financial firms (or want to hop on to cushy posts in financial firms after they retire). There is nothing apolitical about decisions on money supply.

Money is a public good. And banks, because they enjoy the public safety net, have a public dimension to themselves. The supply of money and the stability of banking are matters that involve the larger public good. Is there any reason why these matters should not be subject to political direction when most other matters in the public realm are? In other words, has the time not come to democratize central banking especially when the track record of central bankers before and after the global financial crisis has not exactly been exemplary?

Many are asking these questions. Shelton's problem is that she asks these questions and wants to get on to the board of Fed.

No comments: