Thursday, February 07, 2008

Regulatory lessons from sub prime crisis

What are the regulatory lessons from the sub-prime crisis? In the barrage of comment, I flagged the following:
  • Liquidity risk needs more attention than hitherto
  • Rating of securitisation tranches needs to be put under the scanner
  • How much of securitisation is permissible- and how much of the loans should remain with the originator- may need thinking through
  • We need better pricing of risk although where the models have gone wrong is not clear
  • Greater transparency is required in respect of derviatives exposures- in credit default swaps, for instance, the total volume of contracts written on an underlying credit must be known
Fair enough but let me mention two others that I think require even closer attention. One is higher capital at banking. In my ET column, Revisiting bank regulation, I argue that this is required not so much for the conventional reason, as a first line of defence against risk, but for containing incentives in banking. High leverage is creating incentives for managers to take undue risks and one way to rein this in is to impose a higher capital requirement.

But this is not enough. We need a more direct attack on incentives- and this may require regulatory action because I doubt that the banking industry will want to do anything about it once the crisis blows over. I have written about this in earlier posts but, very briefly, three steps are in order:

  • the magnitude of bonuses needs to be contained
  • bonuses at the top must be in the form of stock options that vest over a period of at least five years
  • bonuses must not be paid out in full for a given year of performance; a big percentage must be held over for, say, five years and it must be used for adjustment against any losses that a manager inflicts on the bank.

2 comments:

blackadder said...

The concept you suggest of bonuses being tied in for a period of five years to eliminate incentives for taking undue risks sound similar to the concept of the 'carry' in private equity. Seems like PE funds had long ago discovered techniques to limit economic slash and burn by agents with perverse incentives. However the problem seems to be that with economic and stock market cycles being an inescapable part of investment banking, traders may rein in their risk appetite to such levels (given that the investment horizon is so long and odds of beating the market over a sustained time period very low) that banks may just become lethargic bureaucracies. This is a price most banks may find too high to pay.

T T Ram Mohan said...

Blackadder,traders can take risks within the limits granted to them. But it cannot be that they get rewards for profits they make and are not subject to losses they inflict on the bank. If you outperform the market, you get a bonus, fine. If you underperform the market, you get zero bonus. But if your trading positions result, not just in underperformance, but a loss for the bank, then there must be a way to claw back bonuses handed out earlier. The proposals I outline will help achieve this objective.

-TTR